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Can the S&P 500 continue its rally?
A strong economy and renewed interest in AI are supporting the stock market.
Fed rate rises, problems with the Russell 2000, and the narrow scope of the S&P 500 rally are worrying investors.
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▶️ FxPro ‘A Real Pro Trader’ Campaign – Backstage
Ever wondered what it takes to find "a real Pro trader"?
Go behind the scenes of FxPro's new global campaign, a chaotic casting session where every actor takes the performance a little too far.
Meet the cast and crew, see how the set came to life and catch the bloopers that didn't make the final cut.
🎬 Watch the main video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AKzQT-oN8WM
You don't have to act like a Pro to trade like one.
75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing money. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
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▶️ USD. Autumn Forecast
Today is Monday, October 12th, and today we’ll be talking about the dollar index. I’ll give you my forecast for the second half of autumn.
Looking at the daily chart, and today we’ll be looking specifically at the daily chart, we’ve spent the whole of 2026 in this kind of correction, which takes the form of an obvious three-wave structure with a triangle inside.
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🇺🇸 Pre-market trading trends on the US stock market
📈 The pre-market session on the US stock market is characterised by mixed trends, with a slight upward bias.
In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.32%, while Bank of America (BAC) is up 0.37%.
In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 0.40%, while Apple (AAPL) is up 0.39%.
In the Health Care sector, Eli Lilly (LLY) is up 0.89%, while Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is virtually unchanged, up 0.01%.
The current pre-market set-up points to a moderate risk-on sentiment within the US market — gains by the largest technology and pharmaceutical companies are supporting risk appetite, but the absence of a broad-based rally and weakness in some semiconductor stocks are limiting demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.
In the near term, the dollar is likely to remain within a neutral range, reacting primarily to expectations regarding Fed interest rates rather than capital flows.
The dollar is testing resistance again
The US currency remains strong.
The euro is struggling due to the budget crisis in France.
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The crypto market is growing, albeit slowly
The crypto market is continuing the recovery that began on Friday, but is rising more slowly; after four consecutive days of gains, it has managed to recoup only two-thirds of the losses incurred on Wednesday and Thursday of last week. At $2.83T, market capitalisation is now 1.1% higher than a day ago, but 3.5% below the level seen a week earlier. At current levels, the crypto market is only just approaching the support zone that held at the end of September. This caution clearly indicates that cryptocurrencies are in the early stages of a bull market, with buying on dips evident but overall sentiment remaining fairly cautious. Among altcoins, a positive trend has prevailed over the last 24 hours, with the ratio of rising to falling coins around 12:1. The top gainers were Filecoin (+13.2%), Internet Computer (+12.8%), and NEAR Protocol (+11%). The worst performers were Cosmos (−3.5%), Theta Network (−1.9%) and Immutable (−1.5%).
Bitcoin is starting the week near $84K, continuing to move away from the 50-day moving average, which it touched on Thursday. At current levels, the BTC price exceeds the previous support zone, suggesting that resistance has not shifted downward and may only materialise near $87K. Only a sustained move above this level will pave the way to $94K, a target we have been discussing since the middle of last month. Although the bullish reversal at the end of last week was not particularly impressive in magnitude, it clearly demonstrated that the balance of power lies with the bulls and that buyers are keen to step in during dips.
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Market Sentiment for October 12, 2026
🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/10/13 (GMT)
00:30 🇦🇺 Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
06:05 🇨🇦 ⚡️ BOC Governor Tiff Macklem Speaks
[Updated in real time]▶️ FxPro: What’s Moving Markets Next Week
Stay informed with FxPro’s weekly update and stay ahead of what’s shaping the markets.
The week ahead puts U.S. inflation and central bank commentary in the spotlight, with key events that could shape the next market moves. 👀🌍
Wednesday brings U.S. CPI. With inflation at 3.4% last time, a hotter reading could push the Fed closer to another rate hike. 🇺🇸📊
Thursday brings Retail Sales and PPI. Strong spending last month showed consumers are still holding up, while producer prices could offer fresh inflation clues. 🛍️📈
Then Friday, Fed Chair Warsh takes the stage. After the latest inflation data, markets will be watching closely for signals on the Fed’s next move. 🏦🎙️
Stay tuned for the data and commentary that could move markets this week. 📊🌍
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▶️ Pro News Weekly: Dollar Rally Gains Momentum
Welcome to Pro News Weekly!
💵 The U.S. dollar continues to rally as capital flows from Europe to the US accelerate. Rising French government bond yields and growing concerns over France’s debt trajectory and political instability are weighing on European markets, strengthening demand for the greenback.
📈 US stocks are showing mixed performance as the S&P 500 retreats from record highs amid concerns over elevated Treasury yields. While the Nasdaq 100 remains near all-time highs, the Russell 2000 is approaching correction territory. A narrow rally driven by major technology companies is also raising concerns about a potential market bubble.
🪙 Gold is heading for its third consecutive weekly decline, pressured by a stronger dollar, rising Treasury yields and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, China's purchase of 23 tonnes of gold in September, its largest monthly purchase since 2023, is helping support prices near two-month lows.
₿ Bitcoin is retreating as escalating Middle East tensions undermine risk appetite and trigger a cryptocurrency sell-off. Around $720 million in positions were liquidated over 24 hours, while Bitcoin ETFs recorded $485 million in outflows. A stronger dollar, elevated Treasury yields and competition from Big Tech stocks are adding further pressure.
📊 Next week, traders will focus on US consumer price and producer price data, which could influence expectations for the Fed's next rate decision. A rise in September inflation could push the probability of a rate hike back to 50%, supporting the dollar. Investors will also monitor France's budget negotiations, developments in the Middle East and their potential impact on oil prices and safe-haven demand.
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75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing money. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
#FxPro #Tradelikeapro #Pronewsweekly #Dollar #Stocks #Gold #Bitcoin
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